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The Round of 16 of the FIFA World Cup 2026 continues on Monday when the United States and Belgium meet at Lumen Field in Seattle.
With a place in the quarter-finals at stake, tensions will be running high as the best team from Group D face off against the standout from Group G. The Stars and Stripes will benefit from the backing of a huge audience, but the Red Devils won't be friendless in this winner-takes-all showdown. We have all the ingredients of a memorable knockout match.
Will the USA make home advantage count, or will the Belgians continue their march towards the latter stages?
The legal and licensed sportsbooks featured on this page offer over 100 pre-match and live betting markets. You can predict the winner, play the specials or register as a new customer to secure a welcome bonus free bet.
Keep reading as trusted World Cup betting analyst Frank Monkhouse guides you through his fully researched USA vs Belgium betting tips.
USA vs Belgium tips
USA to qualify @ -106 (fanduel) | -105 (betmgm)
Both teams to score @ -158 (fanduel) | -175 (betmgm)
Tillman to score @ +370 (fanduel) | +375 (betmgm)
This article contains affiliate links to advertisers. The analysis is our own. Age, location and other restrictions apply. Please play responsibly.
To qualify: USA
My first suggested bet is for the United States to qualify for the quarter-finals.
You'll find better odds available when backing the States in the match-winner market, but the qualification option helps protect your stake. The main difference between the two is that the match-winner market requires the USA to beat Belgium in regulation time. Our bet covers 90 minutes, extra time, and penalties. If the USA march on, you'll profit.
Why am I confident that Mauricio Pochettino's team will deliver? Their World Cup form is much better than that of their opponents. The Stars and Stripes arrive having beaten Paraguay 4-1, Australia 2-0, and Bosnia by two goals to nil. Belgium drew with Egypt and Iran before beating New Zealand, and Round of 32 opponents Senegal 3-2 after extra time.
Belgium can consider themselves rather lucky to be in the Round of 16. They have played four games, finishing level three times. Their opponents beat three of their opponents by two or more goals. Confidence is high in the US camp; their fans will turn out in their numbers to create a special atmosphere, and the odds offered are fair. Add the USA to your accas.
Tip: USA to qualify @ -106 (fanduel) | -105 (betmgm)
Bet explanation: USA are the form team of the two involved in this match and also benefit from home support. If they qualify for the next round, your bet wins.
Both teams to score: Yes
Moving to my second USA vs Belgium bet to consider, I shoot for both teams to score.
Visit the bet365 app, find the World Cup 2026 tab, and select the USA vs Belgium match betting. Scroll to BTTS, click the odds attached to Yes, and add it to your bet slip. You now need the States and Belgium to find the net at least once. The winning team and scorers aren't important. A 2-1 victory for the US is every bit as good as a 2-2 draw or 3-1 for Belgium.
Placing a bet on both teams to score in previous World Cup 2026 matches involving the States was a smart approach. BTTS landed in two of their three group games, including a 3-2 loss to Turkey on matchday three. The US did keep a clean sheet in their Round of 32 victory over Bosnia, but Tuesday brings a tougher opponent with World Cup experience.
Clicking Yes in the both teams to score market produced profits when Belgium drew 1-1 with Egypt, beat New Zealand 5-1, and beat Senegal 3-2 last time. The USA have scored 10 goals and conceded 4. Belgium have scored 9 and leaked 4.
Need more convincing? The head-to-head stats on Flashscore show these teams shared seven goals in a World Cup warm-up match three months ago.
Tip: Both teams to score @ -158 (fanduel) | -175 (betmgm)
Bet explanation: You need the US and Belgium to score at least one goal each for your wager to be settled as a winner.
Score or assist: Tillman
As is often the case at this summer's remarkable World Cup, I aim to sign off with a bet at more attractive odds.
Here, I'm switching from supporting the teams to capitalising on the player markets. We're backing ex-Rangers attacker Malik Tillman to score or assist against the Belgians. You'll celebrate a 30-yard screamer from the Bayer Leverkusen number 10 the same way you'd cheer him setting up a teammate for a late tap-in.
The 24-year-old Tillman has scored nine goals for club and country this season, including a World Cup goal against Bosnia last time out. Folarin Balogun scored just before half-time to give his nation a vital lead in that Round of 32 decider, but he was then sent off in the second half. With the game in the balance, Tillman won it with a goal in the 82nd minute.
Looking beyond his goals, Tillman was credited with an assist in his team's emphatic 4-1 win over Paraguay last month. He provided a perfect pass for Balogun, who evaded a tough tackle to stay on his feet and put the game to bed.
Tip: Tillman to score or assist @ +370 (fanduel) | +375 (betmgm)
Bet explanation: Malik Tillman must score or assist a goal for the USA.
USA vs Belgium odds
USA win @ +175 (fanduel) | +170 (betmgm)
Draw @ +230 (fanduel) | +230 (betmgm)
Belgium win @ +160 (fanduel) | +150 (betmgm)